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  • Soft drinks full of eastern promise
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10th July 2002

Soft drinks full of eastern promise

East Europeans glugged and sipped almost 10% more soft drinks in 2001, pushing consumption past the 20,000 million litre mark for the first time, according to the 2002 East Europe Soft Drinks report from leading drinks consultancy Zenith International. Volumes have jumped 36% since 1997, despite the economic troubles of the late 1990s.

"1999 was a particularly difficult year after the collapse of the Russian rouble in August 1998", commented Zenith Research Director Gary Roethenbaugh. "Since then, East Europe's soft drinks industry has been reinvigorated by a flurry of restructuring activity including the privatisation of state owned enterprises, increased foreign investment and new joint ventures."

The two fastest growing countries between 1997 and 2001 were Serbia and Bulgaria, both achieving gains in excess of 70%. The two biggest national markets of Poland and Russia had contrasting fortunes in 2001. Russia speeded up to top the rankings with growth of 20%, while Poland slowed to hit the bottom with growth of 4%.

Individual consumption was highest in the Czech Republic at 239 litres per person in 2001, more than eight times the level in the Ukraine at 29 litres. The East European average of 64 litres has a long way to go before catching the West European figure of 223 litres.

Carbonated soft drinks were the largest overall product market with a 40% volume share, but growth has been modest. Bottled water, however, has consistently managed double digit growth to reach 30%. Apart from a downturn in 1999, fruit juice/nectars and still drinks have also been growing strongly, while dilutables have made only limited headway.

The new Zenith report provides a host of detail on other aspects of the East European market by country and by product:


Flavours - Colas lead carbonates with a 31% share, while orange is most popular for fruit juice/nectars and dilutables.

Packaging - PET bottles have a commanding 61% share, followed by glass on 21% and cartons on 13%, with cans held back to just 2%.

Companies - the top 50 national operators are responsible for 47% of total volume, including 12 entries by Coca-Cola and 7 by PepsiCo.

"East Europe represents a clear strategic priority for the international soft drinks leaders", added Gary Roethenbaugh. "But the importance of local operators should not be underestimated. They still account for the majority of sales."

The Zenith report also contains numerous other insights into East European soft drinks trends:


Bottled water - six national markets have doubled since 1997.

Energy drinks - have been slow to build.

Kvass malt based beverages - have staged a recent revival.

Raspberry - is the third most popular dilutables flavour with a share of 8%.
Concluding with detailed forecasts, Zenith predicts East European soft drinks growth of between 7% and 10% per year to pass 29,000 million litres by 2006.

The 2002 Zenith Report on East Europe Soft Drinks contains 190 pages, 50 market overview tables/charts, 15 detailed country profiles and full market analysis. Contact Zenith International on tel +44 (0)1225 327900, fax +44 (0)1225 327901 or e-mail info@zenithinternational.com


Notes for Editors

1. For further information, please contact:


Gary Roethenbaugh or Agnieszka Iwaniuk, Zenith International Ltd
7 Kingsmead Square, Bath BA1 2AB, United Kingdom
Tel +44 (0)1225 327900 Fax +44 (0)1225 327901
www.zenithinternational.com

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